How many downloads can one expect in the first month on Google Play?

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I am an amateur android developer and I have made an app for Android here:

http://ift.tt/1HbLjxr

This is my first ever published app and I published it 6 days ago and I only have 61 downloads (80% of which are people I actually told in person to download it). I have looked into ASO and I have worked on keywords in my description but I am wondering:

1) How many downloads can I expect from a simple game in the first month on google play

2) When should I consider using paid aquisition for my app and how much should I invest in that (I make only 3 cents a day currently with adMob interstitials)

3) Are app download numbers exponential in the sense they go up faster and faster the more people download it

4) How long will it take to get 10,000 users and how much would that make money wise at the rate I'm going

Any responses are greatly appreciated!

asked 1 min ago

Benyam Ephrem

84

How many downloads can one expect in the first month on Google Play?